USA - Major League Soccer
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Major League Soccer Predictions
Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls are set to meet in the MLS, with either side seeking a return to winning ways. Hosts Toronto are worse off, coming into the match sitting 14th, while Red Bulls are eighth. We have the prediction for the game below.
After three straight defeats, Toronto will be really desperate to return to winning ways here. Not even playing at home would ease their pressure; they are coming from a 2-0 loss to Charlotte right at home.
Their only win in the last five matches was on the road, a 6-1 score at Montreal. Across all competitions, Toronto managed just one win in their 11 home matches this season.
New York Red Bull, themselves coming from an away defeat at Austin, will be happy to check in at Ontario to face a side in such a shape. The visitors come holding a run of three straight wins in the MLS.
They’ve lost just once in five across all competitions, and in their last 10 matches, Red Bulls failed to score just once. Their status as favorites is enhanced by a strong head-to-head run as well.
The last time Red Bulls lost in this fixture was six years ago. Within that period, the two sides met 12 times in the league, and Red Bulls won nine.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.8 | 3.4 | 2 |
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3.75 | 3.25 | 2 |
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3.9 | 3.3 | 1.95 |
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3.6 | 3.4 | 2 |
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3.65 | 3.5 | 2 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls?
Our prediction for the Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls match is: New York Red Bulls wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/06/2025 between Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls in Major League Soccer :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.81% for a win of Toronto FC against New York Red Bulls with odds of 4 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls is 10.97% with odds of 3.55 at BC Game.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.22% chance ⭐ for a win of New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC with odds of 2.08 at Betsson.
Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Prediction and Best Odds:
Toronto FC New York Red Bulls Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
New York Red Bulls wins | 55.22% | 2.08 at Betsson |
Over 2.5 goals | 51.96% | 2.24 at 22bet |
Both Team To Score | 50.83% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
Half-time / Full-time: New York Red Bulls/New York Red Bulls | 21.04% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Form
Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls's standings in the Major League Soccer
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
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28 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 8 |
14
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14 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -6 |
Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
15 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
10 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
15 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
10 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
3 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
7 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
23 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
9 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
2 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
1 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
22 May 2025 - US Open Cup
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
29 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
22 May 2025 - US Open Cup
11 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
26 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
20 Apr 2025 - Major League Soccer
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2025 - Major League Soccer
25 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
17 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
15 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
7 May 2025 - US Open Cup
4 May 2025 - Major League Soccer
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Mar 2025 - Major League Soccer
3 Oct 2024 - Major League Soccer
28 Jul 2024 - Leagues Cup
23 Jun 2024 - Major League Soccer
19 Jun 2022 - Major League Soccer
8 May 2021 - Major League Soccer
Toronto FC against New York Red Bulls Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players

N. Gomis
K. Franklin
H. Wingo
ForwardF. Bernardeschi

D. Nealis
M. Morales
ForwardR. Mitchell
Most goals and assists






Toronto FC - New York Red Bulls Key Points
- In 12 league meetings between these two, the Red Bulls are unbeaten.
- Across 11 matches at home this season, Toronto managed one win.
- In their last four home matches, Toronto suffered defeat.
- Red Bulls won three of their last four MLS outings.
- Toronto are coming off three straight defeats.
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Our Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction
A poor run ahead of this match had Toronto as outright underdogs coming into this game. While both teams are coming off defeats, Toronto’s form sticks out, especially the fact that they have struggled so much at home this season.
They are coming off four straight defeats at home and have won just once in 11 matches there this season. Red Bulls will welcome this encounter as they look to bounce back. They have nine wins in the last 12 meetings with Toronto. Our prediction for Toronto v New York Red Bulls is that New York Red Bulls wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toronto FC New York Red Bulls
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Toronto FC wins | 3.2 | 3.8 | +18.8% |
Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
New York Red Bulls wins | 2.2 | 2 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- New York Red Bulls is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 50.0% (4.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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